Monday, February 23, 2009

Bracket Watch - Into the stretch drive

The only thing that would make the stretch run to the big dance even more exciting would have to be choosing either Dave Johnson, Tom Durkin or Paul Allen doing the call as if it were the Kentucky Derby. Yes the battle to stay on the good site of the bubble or getting on to it is turning into a horse race. At this point the top 4 teams are stabilizing(despite the fact three of them lost week) and most at-large spots are close to being spoken for(if not claimed already). But there is no settlement at this point for most of the seeds and placements(Indeed after finishing the bracket this morning, I reshuffled the sites of a few pods).

Final Four pairings:
Midwest(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. South(3)

Midwest region
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Opening Round winner
Opening Round-Radford/Big South vs. Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Kentucky vs. 9-Creighton/Missouri Valley
4-Kansas vs. 13-Penn State
5-Florida State vs. 12-Siena/Metro Atlantic
2-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 15-Long Beach State/Big West
7-Ucla vs. 10-Utah State/Western Athletic
3-Duke vs. 14-American/Patriot
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina

West region
@Kansas City
1-Oklahoma/Big 12 vs. 16-Tennessee-Martin/Ohio Valley
8-Dayton vs. 9-California
4-Wake Forest vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Illinois vs. 12-Davidson/Southern
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
7-Florida vs. 10-Arizona
3-Villanova vs. 14-Buffalo/Mid-American
6-Utah/Mountain West vs. 11-Maryland

East region
1-Connecticut/Big East vs. 16-Binghamton/America East
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Tennessee
4-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 13-Weber State/Big Sky
5-Washington/Pacific-10 vs 12-Miami(FL)
2-Clemson vs. 15-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
7-Texas vs. 10-Brigham Young
3-Marquette vs. 14-North Dakota State/Summit
6-Butler/Horizon vs. 11-Wisconsin

South region
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-Jacksonville/Atlantic Sun
8-West Virginia vs. 9-Minnesota
4-Arizona State vs. 13-Virginia Commonwealth/Colonial
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-San Diego State
2-Louisville vs. 15-Robert Morris/Northeast
7-Purdue vs. 10-Boston College
3-Missouri vs. 14-Cornell/Ivy
6-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas

Differences within the seed list:
Dayton(true 9 seed)
Minnesota(true 8 seed)
Siena(true 11 seed)
Wisconsin(true 12 seed)

New to the field: Binghamton, Maryland, Miami(FL), Penn State, Long Beach State, Virginia Commonwealth, Tennessee-Martin, Stephen F. Austin, Western Kentucky

Last four in the field: San Diego State, Miami(FL), Wisconsin, Penn State
First four left out: Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, St. Mary's, Temple
Next four left out: Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, UAB, Cincinnati
Also in contention: North Carolina State, Georgetown, Providence, Michigan, Baylor, Kansas State, Nebraska, Tulsa, New Mexico, Southern California, Mississippi State, Nevada

The next projection will come out on Friday. Indeed for the next for the next two weeks, I'm doing twice-weekly projections. For the week of Selection Sunday, there will be daily updates(except Saturday) with the final projection after the SEC final.


  1. Purdue beats Michigan State and Indiana and falls 2 seeds from last week to this week? I'd have to say that's pretty tough to justify...

  2. hi howard, i too am a bracketologist (18 years for several radio stations) just wanted to say nice bracket....good job !!

  3. I have to agree with the above comment about Purdue, care to explain how a team wins twice in a week, once over the number 5 team in the nation, moves up several spots in both polls to number 16, and drops two seeds in your bracket? Seems downright stupid if you ask me.