Now in case St. Bonaventure is successful in winning the Atlantic 10 title, here's what the bracket would look like:
Final Four pairings
Midwest(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. South(3)
First Four pairings
Tuesday: MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY; Texas vs. South Florida
Wednesday: NORFOLK STATE vs. VERMONT; North Carolina State vs. Drexel
MIDWEST Regional
Louisville
1-Kentucky vs. 16-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE/WESTERN KENTUCKY
8-San Diego State vs. 9-Harvard
Albuquerque
4-Michigan vs. 13-ST. BONAVENTURE
5-LOUISVILLE vs. 12-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Omaha
2-Kansas vs. 15-UNC ASHEVILLE
7-Gonzaga vs. 10-Connecticut
Nashville
3-Florida State vs. 14-DAVIDSON
6-Temple vs. 11-VCU
WEST Regional
Columbus
1-Michigan State vs. 16-LAMAR
8-Virginia vs. 9-Kansas State
Nashville
4-Vanderbilt vs. 13-North Carolina State/Drexel
5-Georgetown vs. 12-Xavier
Omaha
2-MISSOURI vs. 15-DETROIT
7-NEW MEXICO vs. 10-LONG BEACH STATE
Columbus
3-Marquette vs. 14-BELMONT
6-CREIGHTON vs. 11-Southern Mississippi
EAST Regional
Pittsburgh
1-Syracuse vs. 16-LONG ISLAND
8-Iowa State vs. 9-Alabama
Portland
4-Indiana vs. 13-NEW MEXICO STATE
5-Wichita State vs. 12-Colorado State
Greensboro
2-Duke vs. 15-LEHIGH
7-MEMPHIS vs. 10-California
Louisville
3-Wisconsin vs. 14-LOYOLA(MD)
6-Cincinnati vs. 11-Brigham Young
SOUTH Regional
Greensboro
1-North Carolina vs. 16-NORFOLK STATE/VERMONT
8-Florida vs. 9-Kansas State
Portland
4-MURRAY STATE vs. 13-COLORADO
5-Unlv vs. 12-Texas/South Florida
Pittsburgh
2-Ohio State vs. 15-OHIO
7-Notre Dame vs. 10-Saint Louis
Albuquerque
3-Baylor vs. 14-MONTANA
6-SAINT MARY'S vs. 11-West Virginia
Last four in the field: Texas(48), South Florida(49), North Carolina State(50), Drexel(51)
First four left out: Seton Hall(52), Washington(53), Mississippi State(54), Iona(55)
Next six left out: Northwestern(56), Mississippi(58), Oral Roberts(59), Arizona(60), Miami(FL)(62), Nevada(63)
Now, once the early games are finished, I'll be back to post the final projection. It's likely, but not a guarantee, that one of these two provisional brackets will end up being the last projection of the season. It will also be accompanied by the final seed list too. So I'll see you all this afternoon.
Sunday, March 11, 2012
Bracket Watch '12 - Selection Sunday
Well, here it is at the last. This is the day where everyone will know who's in and who didn't make the cut. Since there is a bid stealer in our midst, I've created two brackets based on what happens today. This one depicts the status quo, in which Xavier wins the Atlantic 10.
Final Four pairings
Midwest(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. South(3)
First Four pairings
Tuesday: MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY; Drexel vs. Seton Hall
Wednesday: NORFOLK STATE vs. VERMONT; North Carolina State vs. South Florida
MIDWEST Regional
Louisville
1-Kentucky vs. 16-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE/WESTERN KENTUCKY
8-San Diego State vs. 9-Kansas State
Albuquerque
4-Michigan vs. 13-COLORADO
5-LOUISVILLE vs. 12-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Omaha
2-Kansas vs. 15-UNC ASHEVILLE
7-Gonzaga vs. 10-Connecticut
Nashville
3-Florida State vs. 14-DAVIDSON
6-Temple vs. 11-West Virginia
WEST Regional
Columbus
1-Michigan State vs. 16-NORFOLK STATE/VERMONT
8-Virginia vs. 9-HARVARD
Nashville
4-Vanderbilt vs. 13-North Carolina State/South Florida
5-Georgetown vs. 12-VCU
Omaha
2-MISSOURI vs. 15-DETROIT
7-NEW MEXICO vs. 10-LONG BEACH STATE
Columbus
3-Marquette vs. 14-BELMONT
6-CREIGHTON vs. 11-XAVIER
EAST Regional
Pittsburgh
1-Syracuse vs. 16-LONG ISLAND
8-Iowa State vs. 9-Alabama
Portland
4-Indiana vs. 13-NEW MEXICO STATE
5-Wichita State vs. 12-Colorado State
Greensboro
2-Duke vs. 15-LEHIGH
7-MEMPHIS vs. 10-California
Louisville
3-Wisconsin vs. 14-LOYOLA(MD)
6-Cincinnati vs. 11-Brigham Young
SOUTH Regional
Greensboro
1-North Carolina vs. 16-LAMAR
8-Florida vs. 9-Purdue
Portland
4-MURRAY STATE vs. 13-Drexel/Seton Hall
5-Unlv vs. 12-Texas
Pittsburgh
2-Ohio State vs. 15-OHIO
7-Notre Dame vs. 10-Saint Louis
Albuquerque
3-Baylor vs. 14-MONTANA
6-SAINT MARY'S vs. 11-Southern Mississippi
Last four in the field: North Carolina State(48), South Florida(50), Drexel(51), Seton Hall(52)
First four left out: Washington(53), Mississippi State(54), Iona(55), Northwestern(57)
Next five left out: Mississippi(58), Oral Roberts(59), Arizona(60), Miami(FL)(61), Nevada(62)
In a moment, the St. Bonaventure variation.
Final Four pairings
Midwest(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. South(3)
First Four pairings
Tuesday: MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY; Drexel vs. Seton Hall
Wednesday: NORFOLK STATE vs. VERMONT; North Carolina State vs. South Florida
MIDWEST Regional
Louisville
1-Kentucky vs. 16-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE/WESTERN KENTUCKY
8-San Diego State vs. 9-Kansas State
Albuquerque
4-Michigan vs. 13-COLORADO
5-LOUISVILLE vs. 12-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Omaha
2-Kansas vs. 15-UNC ASHEVILLE
7-Gonzaga vs. 10-Connecticut
Nashville
3-Florida State vs. 14-DAVIDSON
6-Temple vs. 11-West Virginia
WEST Regional
Columbus
1-Michigan State vs. 16-NORFOLK STATE/VERMONT
8-Virginia vs. 9-HARVARD
Nashville
4-Vanderbilt vs. 13-North Carolina State/South Florida
5-Georgetown vs. 12-VCU
Omaha
2-MISSOURI vs. 15-DETROIT
7-NEW MEXICO vs. 10-LONG BEACH STATE
Columbus
3-Marquette vs. 14-BELMONT
6-CREIGHTON vs. 11-XAVIER
EAST Regional
Pittsburgh
1-Syracuse vs. 16-LONG ISLAND
8-Iowa State vs. 9-Alabama
Portland
4-Indiana vs. 13-NEW MEXICO STATE
5-Wichita State vs. 12-Colorado State
Greensboro
2-Duke vs. 15-LEHIGH
7-MEMPHIS vs. 10-California
Louisville
3-Wisconsin vs. 14-LOYOLA(MD)
6-Cincinnati vs. 11-Brigham Young
SOUTH Regional
Greensboro
1-North Carolina vs. 16-LAMAR
8-Florida vs. 9-Purdue
Portland
4-MURRAY STATE vs. 13-Drexel/Seton Hall
5-Unlv vs. 12-Texas
Pittsburgh
2-Ohio State vs. 15-OHIO
7-Notre Dame vs. 10-Saint Louis
Albuquerque
3-Baylor vs. 14-MONTANA
6-SAINT MARY'S vs. 11-Southern Mississippi
Last four in the field: North Carolina State(48), South Florida(50), Drexel(51), Seton Hall(52)
First four left out: Washington(53), Mississippi State(54), Iona(55), Northwestern(57)
Next five left out: Mississippi(58), Oral Roberts(59), Arizona(60), Miami(FL)(61), Nevada(62)
In a moment, the St. Bonaventure variation.
Saturday, March 10, 2012
Questions and answers on what to expect
Who's the last #1?
If all indications are correct, Kentucky, Syracuse, and North Carolina should be good to go for the top line. But after that, it's a tossup between two Big Ten and two Big 12 teams. Kansas has been on fire recently, but it lost to Baylor in the Big 12 semis. Missouri lost out on the Big 12 regular season title, but won the conference tournament in it's last duties as a basketball-playing member. Michigan State has done surprisingly well against a killer non-conference slate, not to mention surviving a difficult Big Ten. Same with Ohio State, who defeated the likes of Duke. Who will get it? I still say Kansas, but it would not shock me to see one of the other three up there with a 1 next to it.
Who does the bubble have to root against?
UC Santa Barbara, tonight, and St. Bonaventure, tomorrow. By my account, both Long Beach State have done enough to earn at-large status. But they can help the bubble out by winning their respective conference games.
Where does Kentucky go?
Most of the season, most bracketologists had the Wildcats going to the South Regional in Atlanta. But recently, some, not all, have put the Wildcats in St. Louis for the Midwest Regional. In terms of mileage, Lexington is about 40 miles closer to St. Louis than to Atlanta. And with the emergence of North Carolina, it looks more or less likely Kentucky will go to St. Louis for regional play(much to the disgust of our Kansas readership, the Jayhawks would be shipped out west to Phoenix. Syracuse, the other lock for a 1, looks to be a lock for Boston).
Will anyone get all 68 teams right?
Not likely, but certainly possible.
Well that's all from me for tonight. See you tomorrow, and don't forget to turn your clocks ahead an hour before you sleep.
If all indications are correct, Kentucky, Syracuse, and North Carolina should be good to go for the top line. But after that, it's a tossup between two Big Ten and two Big 12 teams. Kansas has been on fire recently, but it lost to Baylor in the Big 12 semis. Missouri lost out on the Big 12 regular season title, but won the conference tournament in it's last duties as a basketball-playing member. Michigan State has done surprisingly well against a killer non-conference slate, not to mention surviving a difficult Big Ten. Same with Ohio State, who defeated the likes of Duke. Who will get it? I still say Kansas, but it would not shock me to see one of the other three up there with a 1 next to it.
Who does the bubble have to root against?
UC Santa Barbara, tonight, and St. Bonaventure, tomorrow. By my account, both Long Beach State have done enough to earn at-large status. But they can help the bubble out by winning their respective conference games.
Where does Kentucky go?
Most of the season, most bracketologists had the Wildcats going to the South Regional in Atlanta. But recently, some, not all, have put the Wildcats in St. Louis for the Midwest Regional. In terms of mileage, Lexington is about 40 miles closer to St. Louis than to Atlanta. And with the emergence of North Carolina, it looks more or less likely Kentucky will go to St. Louis for regional play(much to the disgust of our Kansas readership, the Jayhawks would be shipped out west to Phoenix. Syracuse, the other lock for a 1, looks to be a lock for Boston).
Will anyone get all 68 teams right?
Not likely, but certainly possible.
Well that's all from me for tonight. See you tomorrow, and don't forget to turn your clocks ahead an hour before you sleep.
Bracket Watch '12 - Saturday Night
Sorry about the lateness of my projections today, I was a bit busy. Here's my latest update as of 6:30 PM this evening(not considering the Pacific-12 and Big 12 finals). Seeds Only(no bracket until tomorrow).
1-Kentucky(Midwest), Syracuse(East), North Carolina(South), Kansas(West)
2-Michigan State, Missouri, Ohio State, Duke
3-Baylor, Marquette, Wisconsin, Florida State
4-Michigan, Indiana, MURRAY STATE, Vanderbilt
5-Louisville, Georgetown, Unlv, Wichita State
6-SAINT MARY'S, Cincinnati, Temple, CREIGHTON
7-Gonzaga, Florida, San Diego State, New Mexico
8-Notre Dame, MEMPHIS, Iowa State, Kansas State
9-Virginia, Alabama, Purdue, HARVARD
10-Connecticut, Long Beach State, Saint Louis, California
11-West Virginia, Southern Mississippi, Xavier, Brigham Young
12-Colorado State, Texas, VCU, Washington(First Four), NC State(First Four)
13-South Florida(First Four), Drexel(First Four), Arizona, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, DAVIDSON
14-LOYOLA(MD), New Mexico State, MONTANA, BELMONT
15-Akron, DETROIT, LEHIGH, UNC ASHEVILLE
16-LAMAR, LONG ISLAND, NORFOLK STATE(First Four), VERMONT(First Four), Mississippi Valley State(First Four), WESTERN KENTUCKY(First Four)
First four in line for a bid: Mississippi State(52), Seton Hall(53), Iona(54), Northwestern(55)
Next three left out: Mississippi(56), Oral Roberts(59), Nevada(60)
1-Kentucky(Midwest), Syracuse(East), North Carolina(South), Kansas(West)
2-Michigan State, Missouri, Ohio State, Duke
3-Baylor, Marquette, Wisconsin, Florida State
4-Michigan, Indiana, MURRAY STATE, Vanderbilt
5-Louisville, Georgetown, Unlv, Wichita State
6-SAINT MARY'S, Cincinnati, Temple, CREIGHTON
7-Gonzaga, Florida, San Diego State, New Mexico
8-Notre Dame, MEMPHIS, Iowa State, Kansas State
9-Virginia, Alabama, Purdue, HARVARD
10-Connecticut, Long Beach State, Saint Louis, California
11-West Virginia, Southern Mississippi, Xavier, Brigham Young
12-Colorado State, Texas, VCU, Washington(First Four), NC State(First Four)
13-South Florida(First Four), Drexel(First Four), Arizona, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, DAVIDSON
14-LOYOLA(MD), New Mexico State, MONTANA, BELMONT
15-Akron, DETROIT, LEHIGH, UNC ASHEVILLE
16-LAMAR, LONG ISLAND, NORFOLK STATE(First Four), VERMONT(First Four), Mississippi Valley State(First Four), WESTERN KENTUCKY(First Four)
First four in line for a bid: Mississippi State(52), Seton Hall(53), Iona(54), Northwestern(55)
Next three left out: Mississippi(56), Oral Roberts(59), Nevada(60)
Friday, March 9, 2012
Bracket Watch '12 - Friday Bracket
Close games, burst bubbles, overtime games, double overtime games, triple overtime games, hysterics abound. Man that had to be the wildest Thursday in Championship Week history. And all of this is captured in the latest projection based on what's going on. And if that doesn't get your attention, then I don't know what will.
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. Midwest(3)
First Four pairings
Tuesday: Mississippi Valley State(Southwestern) vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY; Xavier vs. South Florida
Wednesday: Norfolk State(Mid-Eastern) vs. Lamar(Southland); Mississippi State vs. Drexel
SOUTH Regional
Louisville
1-Kentucky(Southeastern) vs. 16-Mississippi Valley State/WESTERN KENTUCKY
8-Iowa State vs. 9-Saint Louis
Nashville
4-Florida State vs. 13-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
5-Georgetown vs. 12-VCU
Columbus
2-Michigan State(Big Ten) vs. 15-DETROIT
7-Notre Dame vs. 10-Southern Mississippi
Albuquerque
3-Baylor vs. 14-BELMONT
6-Wichita State vs. 11-Long Beach State(Big West)
WEST Regional
Greensboro
1-North Carolina(Atlantic Coast) vs. 16-Norfolk State/Lamar
8-Cincinnati vs. 9-Kansas State
Portland
4-MURRAY STATE vs. 13-Tennessee
5-Unlv vs. 12-Brigham Young
Omaha
2-Missouri vs. 15-LEHIGH
7-Memphis(Conference USA) vs. 10-Connecticut
Columbus
3-Wisconsin vs. 14-LOYOLA(MD)
6-Florida vs. 11-West Virginia
EAST Regional
Pittsburgh
1-Syracuse(Big East) vs. 16-Stony Brook or Vermont(America East)
8-Virginia vs. 9-Purdue
Nashville
4-Temple(Atlantic 10) vs. 13-Mississippi State/Drexel
5-SAINT MARY'S vs. 12-Washington
Greensboro
2-Duke vs. 15-UNC ASHEVILLE
7-San Diego State(Mountain West) vs. 10-Alabama
Pittsburgh
3-Michigan vs. 14-DAVIDSON
6-Louisville vs. 11-Texas
MIDWEST Regional
Omaha
1-Kansas(Big 12) vs. 16-LONG ISLAND
8-New Mexico vs. 9-HARVARD
Albuquerque
4-Indiana vs. 13-Nevada(Western Athletic)
5-Vanderbilt vs. 12-Xavier/South Florida
Louisville
2-Ohio State vs. 15-Akron(Mid-American)
7-CREIGHTON vs. 10-California(Pacific-12)
Portland
3-Marquette vs. 14-MONTANA
6-Gonzaga vs. 11-Colorado State
Line Adjustments:
Up 1 seed line: Harvard: Xavier/South Florida winner
Down 1 seed line: Alabama, Tennessee
Last four in the field(by seed list number): Xavier(48), Mississippi State(50), South Florida(51), Drexel(52)
First four left out: Seton Hall(53), Northwestern(54), North Carolina State(55), Iona(56)
Next four left out: Miami(FL)(57), Arizona(58), Oregon(59), Oral Roberts(61)
Also under consideration: Central Florida, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Marshall, Mississippi, Middle Tennessee, Minnesota
Important Note for Saturday
As you may already know, I'll be attending the Minnesota State High School Boy's Hockey Championships on Saturday, so if it's possible to do so, I'll have a bracket up early that day. If not, the next projection will be on Sunday morning, with the final one to be revealed after the early games are played.
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
East(2) vs. Midwest(3)
First Four pairings
Tuesday: Mississippi Valley State(Southwestern) vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY; Xavier vs. South Florida
Wednesday: Norfolk State(Mid-Eastern) vs. Lamar(Southland); Mississippi State vs. Drexel
SOUTH Regional
Louisville
1-Kentucky(Southeastern) vs. 16-Mississippi Valley State/WESTERN KENTUCKY
8-Iowa State vs. 9-Saint Louis
Nashville
4-Florida State vs. 13-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
5-Georgetown vs. 12-VCU
Columbus
2-Michigan State(Big Ten) vs. 15-DETROIT
7-Notre Dame vs. 10-Southern Mississippi
Albuquerque
3-Baylor vs. 14-BELMONT
6-Wichita State vs. 11-Long Beach State(Big West)
WEST Regional
Greensboro
1-North Carolina(Atlantic Coast) vs. 16-Norfolk State/Lamar
8-Cincinnati vs. 9-Kansas State
Portland
4-MURRAY STATE vs. 13-Tennessee
5-Unlv vs. 12-Brigham Young
Omaha
2-Missouri vs. 15-LEHIGH
7-Memphis(Conference USA) vs. 10-Connecticut
Columbus
3-Wisconsin vs. 14-LOYOLA(MD)
6-Florida vs. 11-West Virginia
EAST Regional
Pittsburgh
1-Syracuse(Big East) vs. 16-Stony Brook or Vermont(America East)
8-Virginia vs. 9-Purdue
Nashville
4-Temple(Atlantic 10) vs. 13-Mississippi State/Drexel
5-SAINT MARY'S vs. 12-Washington
Greensboro
2-Duke vs. 15-UNC ASHEVILLE
7-San Diego State(Mountain West) vs. 10-Alabama
Pittsburgh
3-Michigan vs. 14-DAVIDSON
6-Louisville vs. 11-Texas
MIDWEST Regional
Omaha
1-Kansas(Big 12) vs. 16-LONG ISLAND
8-New Mexico vs. 9-HARVARD
Albuquerque
4-Indiana vs. 13-Nevada(Western Athletic)
5-Vanderbilt vs. 12-Xavier/South Florida
Louisville
2-Ohio State vs. 15-Akron(Mid-American)
7-CREIGHTON vs. 10-California(Pacific-12)
Portland
3-Marquette vs. 14-MONTANA
6-Gonzaga vs. 11-Colorado State
Line Adjustments:
Up 1 seed line: Harvard: Xavier/South Florida winner
Down 1 seed line: Alabama, Tennessee
Last four in the field(by seed list number): Xavier(48), Mississippi State(50), South Florida(51), Drexel(52)
First four left out: Seton Hall(53), Northwestern(54), North Carolina State(55), Iona(56)
Next four left out: Miami(FL)(57), Arizona(58), Oregon(59), Oral Roberts(61)
Also under consideration: Central Florida, Dayton, St. Joseph's, Marshall, Mississippi, Middle Tennessee, Minnesota
Important Note for Saturday
As you may already know, I'll be attending the Minnesota State High School Boy's Hockey Championships on Saturday, so if it's possible to do so, I'll have a bracket up early that day. If not, the next projection will be on Sunday morning, with the final one to be revealed after the early games are played.
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