Another day, another burst bubble. This time it's Creighton's(again).
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
Midwest(2) vs. East(3)
South region
@Greensboro
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Utah vs. 9-Texas A&M
@Boise
4-Marquette vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 12-Penn State*
@Kansas City
2-Oklahoma vs. 15-Bowling Green/Mid-American
7-Illinois vs. 10-Dayton*
@Minneapolis
3-Villanova vs. 14-Robert Morris/Northeast
6-Butler vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas*
West Region
@Dayton
1-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 16-Northridge State/Big West
8-Oklahoma State vs. 9-California
@Miami
4-Florida State vs. 13-EAST TENNESSEE STATE
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-SIENA
@Philadelphia
2-Connecticut vs. 15-American/Patriot
7-Tennessee vs. 10-Minnesota*
@Portland
3-Washington/Pacific-10 vs. 14-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
6-Brigham Young/Mountain West vs. 11-VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
Midwest region
@Philadelphia
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Boston College*
@Boise
4-Ucla vs. 13-NORTHERN IOWA
5-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 12-Utah State/Western Athletic*
@Greensboro
2-Wake Forest vs. 15-RADFORD
7-West Virginia vs. 10-New Mexico*
@Minneapolis
3-Kansas/Big 12 vs. 14-CORNELL
6-Purdue vs. 11-Arizona*
East region
@Dayton
1-Louisville/Big East vs. 16-Opening round winner
Opening Round: MOREHEAD STATE vs. CHATTANOOGA
8-Arizona State vs. 9-Wisconsin
@Portland
4-Missouri vs. 13-North Dakota State/Summit
5-Clemson vs. 12-CLEVELAND STATE
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Portland State/Big Sky
7-Texas vs. 10-Michigan*
@Miami
3-Duke vs. 14-Binghamton/America East
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina*
New to the field: Cleveland State
Last four in the field: South Carolina, Penn State, Nevada-Las Vegas, Arizona
First four left out: Creighton, St. Mary's, Florida, Miami(FL)
Next four left out: Providence, Kansas State, Maryland, Auburn
Note-The following teams are not in the projection yet, but will be if they win their conference tourneys tonight(along with their projected seeds):
Mount St. Mary's(16)
Montana State(Opening Round)
The next projection will be on Thursday
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Tuesday Night update
North Dakota State rallied from as much as 14 points down to beat Oakland 66-64 in the Summit League final in Sioux Falls, giving the Bison their first Big Dance invite in the first year they could receive one. Currently as I type, Cleveland State is leading Butler in the Horizon final(much to the horror of the bubble) and Western Kentucky is ahead of South Alabama in the Sun Belt final.
Earlier, Cincinnati and Georgetown had their remote chances of at-large consideration end in the first round of the Big East shindig. Notre Dame survived their encounter with Rutgers and will battle West Virginia tomorrow.
UPDATE: Someone's bubble has burst. Cleveland State held off Butler 56-54 for the Horizon League championship. That means when the next update comes tomorrow morning, Creighton will be on the outside looking in, again.
Earlier, Cincinnati and Georgetown had their remote chances of at-large consideration end in the first round of the Big East shindig. Notre Dame survived their encounter with Rutgers and will battle West Virginia tomorrow.
UPDATE: Someone's bubble has burst. Cleveland State held off Butler 56-54 for the Horizon League championship. That means when the next update comes tomorrow morning, Creighton will be on the outside looking in, again.
Bracket Watch - Tuesday
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
Midwest(2) vs. East(3)
South region
@Greensboro
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Utah vs. 9-Texas A&M
@Boise
4-Butler/Horizon vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Marquette vs. 12-Penn State*
@Kansas City
2-Oklahoma vs. 15-Bowling Green/Mid-American
7-Illinois vs. 10-Dayton*
@Minneapolis
3-Villanova vs. 14-Robert Morris/Northeast
6-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas*
West Region
@Dayton
1-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 16-Northridge State/Big West
8-Oklahoma State vs. 9-California
@Miami
4-Florida State vs. 13-EAST TENNESSEE STATE
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-SIENA
@Philadelphia
2-Connecticut vs. 15-American/Patriot
7-Tennessee vs. 10-Minnesota*
@Portland
3-Washington/Pacific-10 vs. 14-Weber State/BIg Sky
6-Brigham Young/Mountain West vs. 11-VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
Midwest region
@Philadelphia
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Boston College*
@Boise
4-Ucla vs. 13-NORTHERN IOWA
5-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 12-Utah State/Western Athletic*
@Greensboro
2-Wake Forest vs. 15-RADFORD
7-West Virginia vs. 10-New Mexico*
@Minneapolis
3-Kansas/Big 12 vs. 14-CORNELL
6-Purdue vs. 11-Arizona*
East region
@Dayton
1-Louisville/Big East vs. 16-Opening round winner
Opening Round: MOREHEAD STATE vs. CHATTANOOGA
8-Arizona State vs. 9-Wisconsin
@Portland
4-Missouri vs. 13-North Dakota State/Summit
5-Clemson vs. 12-Creighton*
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
7-Texas vs. 10-Michigan*
@Miami
3-Duke vs. 14-Binghamton/America East
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina*
New to the field: Creighton, Chattanoogs
Last four in the field: Penn State, Nevada-Las Vegas, Arizona, Creighton
First four left out: St. Mary's, Florida, Miami(FL), Providence
Next four left out: Kansas State, Maryland, Auburn, Tulsa
Note-The following teams are not in the projection yet, but will be if they win their conference tourneys tonight(along with their projected seeds):
Cleveland State(12-14)
Oakland(15-16)
South Alabama(14-16)
The next projection will be on Wednesday.
South(1) vs. West(4)
Midwest(2) vs. East(3)
South region
@Greensboro
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Utah vs. 9-Texas A&M
@Boise
4-Butler/Horizon vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Marquette vs. 12-Penn State*
@Kansas City
2-Oklahoma vs. 15-Bowling Green/Mid-American
7-Illinois vs. 10-Dayton*
@Minneapolis
3-Villanova vs. 14-Robert Morris/Northeast
6-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas*
West Region
@Dayton
1-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 16-Northridge State/Big West
8-Oklahoma State vs. 9-California
@Miami
4-Florida State vs. 13-EAST TENNESSEE STATE
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-SIENA
@Philadelphia
2-Connecticut vs. 15-American/Patriot
7-Tennessee vs. 10-Minnesota*
@Portland
3-Washington/Pacific-10 vs. 14-Weber State/BIg Sky
6-Brigham Young/Mountain West vs. 11-VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
Midwest region
@Philadelphia
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Boston College*
@Boise
4-Ucla vs. 13-NORTHERN IOWA
5-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 12-Utah State/Western Athletic*
@Greensboro
2-Wake Forest vs. 15-RADFORD
7-West Virginia vs. 10-New Mexico*
@Minneapolis
3-Kansas/Big 12 vs. 14-CORNELL
6-Purdue vs. 11-Arizona*
East region
@Dayton
1-Louisville/Big East vs. 16-Opening round winner
Opening Round: MOREHEAD STATE vs. CHATTANOOGA
8-Arizona State vs. 9-Wisconsin
@Portland
4-Missouri vs. 13-North Dakota State/Summit
5-Clemson vs. 12-Creighton*
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
7-Texas vs. 10-Michigan*
@Miami
3-Duke vs. 14-Binghamton/America East
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina*
New to the field: Creighton, Chattanoogs
Last four in the field: Penn State, Nevada-Las Vegas, Arizona, Creighton
First four left out: St. Mary's, Florida, Miami(FL), Providence
Next four left out: Kansas State, Maryland, Auburn, Tulsa
Note-The following teams are not in the projection yet, but will be if they win their conference tourneys tonight(along with their projected seeds):
Cleveland State(12-14)
Oakland(15-16)
South Alabama(14-16)
The next projection will be on Wednesday.
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday Night Update
Gonzaga just crushed St. Mary's 83-58 in the West Coast final. The loss put the Gaels in the same boat as Creighton in which they had a very bad loss right before the tournament. As of right now, the Bluejays are slightly ahead of the Gaels in the pecking order and will move back into the field tomorrow morning.
Also, VCU(Colonial) and Chattanooga(Southern) have claimed their conference's auto bids. The Mocs are 18-16 and more than likely headed straight for the opening round game(or as Kyle Wheliston calls it the Notorious P.I.G(The name no doubt stolen from the St. Paul Saints, who once had a live pig mascot named Notorious P.I.G(A.K.A Piggy Smalls))).) North Dakota State has won their Summit League semifinal over Southern Utah and Western Kentucky will play for the Sun Belt title, having disposed of North Texas.
Also, VCU(Colonial) and Chattanooga(Southern) have claimed their conference's auto bids. The Mocs are 18-16 and more than likely headed straight for the opening round game(or as Kyle Wheliston calls it the Notorious P.I.G(The name no doubt stolen from the St. Paul Saints, who once had a live pig mascot named Notorious P.I.G(A.K.A Piggy Smalls))).) North Dakota State has won their Summit League semifinal over Southern Utah and Western Kentucky will play for the Sun Belt title, having disposed of North Texas.
Bracket Watch - And so the countdown begins
We're now less than a week before Mike Silve and the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Committee will bear the piece of art known as the bracket, and teams around the country are gearing up for a intense week of games to determine the canvas. Some are rising to the challenge(Michigan, Auburn), others are faltering towards the brink(Minnesota, Dayton), others have lost the plot completely(Davidson, Cincinnati, Maryland).
What will the actual art look like? Now this is where bracketologists of all stripes come in. To examine and guess what really goes on inside the ten minds of the committee. How we do it varies widely(and wildly). Some, like myself, use the WWTCDN? method, examining the actual facts thus far. Others make predictions of what will happen. Some do both with various degrees of balance.
Now to the projections(through Sunday Night) with a few new twists:
1-Teams in the field are given the CAPS treatment.
2-Bubble teams are listed with asterisks* like so.
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
Midwest(2) vs. East(3)
South region
@Greensboro
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-RADFORD
8-Utah vs. 9-Texas A&M
@Boise
4-Butler/Horizon vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Marquette vs. 12-Penn State*
@Kansas City
2-Oklahoma vs. 15-Bowling Green/Mid-American
7-Illinois vs. 10-Dayton*
@Minneapolis
3-Villanova vs. 14-Robert Morris/Northeast
6-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas*
West Region
@Dayton
1-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 16-Northridge State/Big West
8-Oklahoma State vs. 9-California
@Miami
4-Florida State vs. 13-College of Charleston/Southern
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-Siena/Metro Atlantic*
@Philadelphia
2-Connecticut vs. 15-American/Patriot
7-Tennessee vs. 10-Minnesota*
@Portland
3-Washington/Pacific-10 vs. 14-Weber State/BIg Sky
6-Brigham Young/Mountain West vs. 11-St. Mary's*
Note: St. Mary's and Minnesota switched seeds for geographical purposes
Midwest region
@Philadelphia
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Boston College*
@Boise
4-Ucla vs. 13-NORTHERN IOWA
5-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 12-Utah State/Western Athletic*
@Greensboro
2-Wake Forest vs. 15-Binghamton/America East
7-West Virginia vs. 10-New Mexico*
@Minneapolis
3-Kansas/Big 12 vs. 14-CORNELL
6-Purdue vs. 11-Arizona*
East region
@Dayton
1-Louisville/Big East vs. 16-Opening round winner
Opening Round: MOREHEAD STATE vs. Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Arizona State vs. 9-Wisconsin
@Portland
4-Missouri vs. 13-North Dakota State/Summit
5-Clemson vs. 12-Virginia Commonwealth/Colonial
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
7-Texas vs. 10-Michigan*
@Miami
3-Duke vs. 14-EAST TENNESSEE STATE
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina*
New to the field: East Tennessee State, Michigan. Morehead State, Arizona, College of Charleston
Last four in the field: Penn State, South Carolina, Nevada-Las Vegas, Arizona
First four left out: Creighton, Florida, San Diego State, Providence
Next four left out: Maryland, Kansas State, Auburn, Miami(FL)
Also on board: Rhode Island, Cincinnati, Northwestern, UAB, Tulsa, Cleveland State, Niagara, Illinois State, Southern California
Note-Here are the seed ranges for those teams not listed in the bracket but would be should they win tonight
George Mason: 13-14
Niagara: 12-13
Chattanooga: 16
What will the actual art look like? Now this is where bracketologists of all stripes come in. To examine and guess what really goes on inside the ten minds of the committee. How we do it varies widely(and wildly). Some, like myself, use the WWTCDN? method, examining the actual facts thus far. Others make predictions of what will happen. Some do both with various degrees of balance.
Now to the projections(through Sunday Night) with a few new twists:
1-Teams in the field are given the CAPS treatment.
2-Bubble teams are listed with asterisks* like so.
Final Four pairings
South(1) vs. West(4)
Midwest(2) vs. East(3)
South region
@Greensboro
1-North Carolina/Atlantic Coast vs. 16-RADFORD
8-Utah vs. 9-Texas A&M
@Boise
4-Butler/Horizon vs. 13-Western Kentucky/Sun Belt
5-Marquette vs. 12-Penn State*
@Kansas City
2-Oklahoma vs. 15-Bowling Green/Mid-American
7-Illinois vs. 10-Dayton*
@Minneapolis
3-Villanova vs. 14-Robert Morris/Northeast
6-Louisiana State/Southeastern vs. 11-Nevada-Las Vegas*
West Region
@Dayton
1-Michigan State/Big Ten vs. 16-Northridge State/Big West
8-Oklahoma State vs. 9-California
@Miami
4-Florida State vs. 13-College of Charleston/Southern
5-Xavier/Atlantic 10 vs. 12-Siena/Metro Atlantic*
@Philadelphia
2-Connecticut vs. 15-American/Patriot
7-Tennessee vs. 10-Minnesota*
@Portland
3-Washington/Pacific-10 vs. 14-Weber State/BIg Sky
6-Brigham Young/Mountain West vs. 11-St. Mary's*
Note: St. Mary's and Minnesota switched seeds for geographical purposes
Midwest region
@Philadelphia
1-Pittsburgh vs. 16-Morgan State/Mid-Eastern
8-Ohio State vs. 9-Boston College*
@Boise
4-Ucla vs. 13-NORTHERN IOWA
5-Gonzaga/West Coast vs. 12-Utah State/Western Athletic*
@Greensboro
2-Wake Forest vs. 15-Binghamton/America East
7-West Virginia vs. 10-New Mexico*
@Minneapolis
3-Kansas/Big 12 vs. 14-CORNELL
6-Purdue vs. 11-Arizona*
East region
@Dayton
1-Louisville/Big East vs. 16-Opening round winner
Opening Round: MOREHEAD STATE vs. Alabama State/Southwestern
8-Arizona State vs. 9-Wisconsin
@Portland
4-Missouri vs. 13-North Dakota State/Summit
5-Clemson vs. 12-Virginia Commonwealth/Colonial
@Kansas City
2-Memphis/Conference USA vs. 15-Stephen F. Austin/Southland
7-Texas vs. 10-Michigan*
@Miami
3-Duke vs. 14-EAST TENNESSEE STATE
6-Syracuse vs. 11-South Carolina*
New to the field: East Tennessee State, Michigan. Morehead State, Arizona, College of Charleston
Last four in the field: Penn State, South Carolina, Nevada-Las Vegas, Arizona
First four left out: Creighton, Florida, San Diego State, Providence
Next four left out: Maryland, Kansas State, Auburn, Miami(FL)
Also on board: Rhode Island, Cincinnati, Northwestern, UAB, Tulsa, Cleveland State, Niagara, Illinois State, Southern California
Note-Here are the seed ranges for those teams not listed in the bracket but would be should they win tonight
George Mason: 13-14
Niagara: 12-13
Chattanooga: 16
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